评论: 关税未振兴制造业 美工厂职缺连续下滑 原因在.....

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石油附中啊 发表评论于 2026-01-17 03:18:57
多大点事儿啊草,失业率数字、通胀数字都仍然很好啊,还不满足?!
Tan7th 发表评论于 2026-01-16 16:28:00
什么失业率下降,天天进这里,装作没见
Embassy 发表评论于 2026-01-16 16:19:29
贷款利率真高啊,鲍威尔这个蠢货,还把利率抬得高高的,存心和老川作对,想搞垮美国。
行知合一 发表评论于 2026-01-16 14:37:57

又一个超级SB 7:30

七点三十 发表评论于 2026-01-16 13:38:00左媒擅长造谣, 各位去听听福特ceo当访谈,福特有十万职缺等着填补呢。还连续下滑,左媒真够无耻的
行知合一 发表评论于 2026-01-16 14:36:33

超级SB tz2000
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tz2000 发表评论于 2026-01-16 14:05:26+1 关税对制造业会有部分负面影响,但是整体上肯定是正面促进作用。
本文放大负面影响,避而不谈正面影响,是左媒的一贯做法。
tz2000 发表评论于 2026-01-16 14:05:26
+1 关税对制造业会有部分负面影响,但是整体上肯定是正面促进作用。
本文放大负面影响,避而不谈正面影响,是左媒的一贯做法。

远方的湖 发表评论于 2026-01-16 13:17:07
旁观者XWY 发表评论于 2026-01-16 13:59:00
GDP 计算有一项进出口贡献。进口为负,出口为正。如果关税遏制进口,GDP也会上升。
雾蒙蒙雨霏霏 发表评论于 2026-01-16 13:53:41
扯这些犊子都没有用,十一月份见,听一听沉默的大多数的意见。
alextelltale 发表评论于 2026-01-16 13:38:00
美国GDP的增长是名义GDP,是通胀带上去的。伊朗名义GDP也在增长。
七点三十 发表评论于 2026-01-16 13:38:00
左媒擅长造谣, 各位去听听福特ceo当访谈,福特有十万职缺等着填补呢。还连续下滑,左媒真够无耻的
worley 发表评论于 2026-01-16 13:22:29
第一,美国的GDP增长是5.3%。这是惊人的。
第二,美国失业率是4.4%,然后很低。
第三,通货膨胀已经稳定在了不足3%。
第四,联邦政府财政赤字大幅减少。
第五,川普的确裁员了十几万政府员工。这是阵痛,政府员工是不创造价值的,本来就应该精简。
远方的湖 发表评论于 2026-01-16 13:17:07
这篇文章认为美国2025年制造业就业人数减少,因此制造业产出减少,结论就是川普的关税政策未振兴美国的制造业。

这个结论有点太武断了。

就拿美国2025年的汽车制造业来说吧,文章写道:

“因此关税虽能保护诸如钢铁厂等美国制造商免于外国竞争,却也推高许多其他产业的成本;以汽车与汽车零组件产业为例,自4月以来就业人数已减少约2万人。”

意思就是美国2025年汽车与汽车零组件产业生产也减少了。但事实正好相反。
2024 年美国汽车产量为 10.56 百万辆(OICA 数据);
多家机构给出的 2025 年美国新车销量预测一致落在 16.2–16.3 百万辆。

虽然美国新车销量不等于美国新车产量,但这些机构认为2025年美国新车销量略等于美国新车产量,理由如下:

2024 年美国汽车产量为 10.56 百万辆(OICA 数据),明显低于销量(约 15.5 百万辆),因为美国仍大量依赖进口;

但 2025 年的趋势不同:

关税上升 → 更多车型在美国本土生产

电池、动力系统等供应链本土化加速

多家车企(丰田、现代、特斯拉、通用)扩大美国工厂产能

因此 2025 年美国汽车本土产量将比 2024 年更接近销量水平。

如果真如这篇文章说的美国汽车业2025年就业人数减少,那么合理的解释就是美国汽车业2025年生产力大幅提高,本土生产的汽车数量大幅增长。川普的关税政策振兴了美国的汽车制造业。

事实到底如何,静等美国OICA正式公布2025年汽车生产的全年数据。
zxbdt2 发表评论于 2026-01-16 13:16:00
我虽然投川普的票,但是对关税这种短期行为能否迅速振兴制造业持怀疑态度,或者是完全不认同。
南七西区 发表评论于 2026-01-16 12:58:04
Praying for Trump, the enemy of America.
Bhistory 发表评论于 2026-01-16 12:49:33
PART 3

They’re trying to kill him and they’re trying everything in their power to remove him from that seat of power and they have somebody right next to him that is willing to kill him also. He needs discernment and he needs to know who these people are right away because this isn’t going to come by a bullet. This will come in a different way. But YES I WILL PROTECT MY DAVID ONCE AGAIN.

Terrorists, those sleeper cells are now awake and there’s going to be that signal that they’re going to get when they know they can’t steal the 2026 election, they know they’re going to take this next move against your President and take your next move against this nation to kill it. That’s why I have to shut things down. And that’s the reason the internet will go quiet. It’s not for your destruction – it’s for your enemies. They have already released some of their bioweapons but they have more. Remember what I told you about winter. Winter’s not over yet.
Your country right now oh My United States is teetering, it’s on the brink of something explosive happening. Oh yes the finances will be affected and oh yes and so will the govt. I’m shutting it down. I have to. So do not be afraid when this happens and do not worry about what you should eat and what you should drink. And do not worry how long this will take.

Children of Almighty God, the time is coming where I will not warn you anymore because it will be upon you. I told you things were going to get worse before they got better. And you’re in that time. Things are going to look worse. Your enemies are going strike you. They’re going to try to strike your nations. I’m going to say this very clearly. I love the sinner but I hate the sin.

Something’s been happening underground that I will expose in this nation. Something is going to happen to the Muslim Brotherhood. They’re about to do something to this nation that they have not done before. You stand and pray against it children of the Most High God now.
Bhistory 发表评论于 2026-01-16 12:49:14
PART 2

But something has to happen to shut it down from what death and what destruction that they were trying to bring into this earth.

Military actions are going to be taken in many nations to a degree no one’s ever seen it – this has never happened before like this. And some people are going to scream and some people are going to be in fear and they’re going to say “What in the world is going on? What in the world is going on? This is the craziest thing I’ve ever seen in my life.” People will scream and people will grow in fear and some people will panic. Oh panic is going to grow in the enemy’s camp.

My children pray that you’re always at the right place at the right time. Don’t make moves without Me now. It’s too important. Something so big is coming. I told you that lock in was coming. I told you that I’m locking you in your homes. It has to happen. I’ve told you about this great wake up call. And I told you that something is coming that’s bigger than Covid. It’s coming. Every single one of My children. It’s coming. Know it. Pray into it. Pray for My instructions. Don’t just worry about getting enough food or water. Do you know Who I Am? There are so many people that are crying out to Me – Lord, if these things happen I don’t have enough money to buy food and drink. I don’t have enough money to buy the things to supply myself with and my family. Don’t you know who I am? I am the God who multiplies food. I multiply anything that you need. I will multiply any product in your home. I will multiply the food that you need. I’m the same God. I just need My people to believe it.

You’re asking why does this lock-in have to take place? Because My children, the terrorists that are in your country oh United States wake up and wake up now and you pray for your President and you pray for him on a daily basis.
Bhistory 发表评论于 2026-01-16 12:48:50
rumble. com/v74epwo-live-with-julie.html?e9s=src_v1_ucp_a

Prophetic Word - [16 January 2026]

For I the Lord this day am warning you once again to wake up. Get your homes in order and that doesn’t mean your physical home. That means your Spirit. Take more time to spend with Me. You’re going to need it. You’re going to need that time of refreshing and you’re going to need the words and direction. For great judgment is going to come across this earth and many people will die. My hand is moving, the hand of judgment. The earth is going to shake in ways My children that you have never felt. This spiritual shaking has never been felt on this earth to this degree. Leaders of nations will be removed. Yes I have been speaking that. But many will die suddenly. They are about to try to use a weapon of mass destruction that will not just affect the United States of America but affect the nations throughout the world. The world will be shutdown again but not in the way that you suppose.
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